B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$24.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
EBF
EnnisCNYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Primary-source evidence improved: FY26 EPS rose to $1.66 from $1.54, acquisitions added $0.05 of quarterly EPS and $0.14 for the full year, inventory was worked down in Q4, and management highlighted a debt-free balance sheet with cash available for buybacks and acquisitions [#8-K-2026-04-20].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.0.
What can break
Ennis still faces secular erosion risk in printed business documents and execution risk around integrating acquisitions [#10-K-2025-05-13].
Momentum
35
Value
64
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $21.00 · Bull $24.00 · Bear $18.00Analysis 2026-04-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $24.00
Why
Momentum35 · Δ7d +2.6
Value64 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment62 · Δ7d +5.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Ennis still faces secular erosion risk in printed business documents and execution risk around integrating acquisitions [#10-K-2025-05-13].
- • Gross margin fell sequentially to 29.2% in fiscal Q4 from 31.9% in fiscal Q3, so pricing/cost execution still needs monitoring [#8-K-2026-04-20].
- • The same release also showed lower organic volumes, flat Q4 EPS despite higher sales, and sequential gross-margin compression to 29.2% from 31.9% in Q3, which argues that acquisition help may be offsetting a softer underlying demand backdrop rather than signaling a clean growth reacceleration [#8-K-2026-04-20].
Catalyst clock
2026-05-13
Annual report follow-through could clarify supply-transition and margin durability
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
35
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.6
Δ21d
-25.5
Value
64
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+3.0
Sentiment
62
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.0
Δ21d
+9.1
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 34.6 / Value 64.1 / Sentiment 62.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-28. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$21.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$18.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$564.66M
Beta
0.36
Shares Out
25.3M
P/E (TTM)
10.9
P/S (TTM)
1.19
P/FCF (TTM)
19.80
Rev YoY
+1.5%
EPS YoY
+2.8%
Gross Margin
+29.1%
Op Margin
+13.5%
Net Debt
-$25.36M
Current Ratio
3.53
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data