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EAT

Brinker InternationalD
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Pricing, traffic recovery, and margin expansion drive EPS upside and multiple expansion toward analyst highs.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.5.
What can break
Franchise/unit-level execution failures
Momentum
94
Value
54
Sentiment
35
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $160.00 · Bull $220.50 · Bear $128.00Analysis 2026-01-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $273.05
Why
Momentum94 · Δ7d -2.2
Value54 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment35 · Δ7d +8.5
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Franchise/unit-level execution failures
  • • Rising commodity and labor costs
  • • Continued traffic weakness, persistent wage/commodity inflation, or franchise execution failures lead to downgrades and target cuts.

Catalyst clock

2026-01-28

Q2 FY2026 results & guidance (published)

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
94
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.2
Δ21d
-1.8
Value
54
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.8
Sentiment
35
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.5
Δ21d
+7.5
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 94.2 / Value 54.5 / Sentiment 35.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$220.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$160.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$128.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$10.37B
Beta
1.35
Shares Out
42.89M
P/E (TTM)
15.4
P/S (TTM)
1.19
P/FCF (TTM)
14.14
Rev YoY
+5.1%
EPS YoY
+29.8%
Gross Margin
+14.9%
Op Margin
+10.8%
Net Debt
$1.65B
Current Ratio
0.45
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data