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EAT

Brinker InternationalC
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Pricing, traffic recovery, and margin expansion drive EPS upside and multiple expansion toward analyst highs.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · BMO.
What can break
Franchise/unit-level execution failures
Momentum
44
Value
59
Sentiment
45
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $160.00 · Bull $220.50 · Bear $128.00Analysis 2026-01-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $264.24
Why
Momentum44 · Δ7d -13.7
Value59 · Δ7d +2.1
Sentiment45 · Δ7d +11.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · BMO.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Franchise/unit-level execution failures
  • • Rising commodity and labor costs
  • • Continued traffic weakness, persistent wage/commodity inflation, or franchise execution failures lead to downgrades and target cuts.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28 · BMO

Q2 FY2026 results & guidance (published)

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
44
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-13.7
Δ21d
-29.9
Value
59
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.1
Δ21d
+2.4
Sentiment
45
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.1
Δ21d
+4.9
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 43.6 / Value 59.1 / Sentiment 45.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$220.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$160.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$128.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$7.65B
Beta
1.35
Shares Out
41.88M
P/E (TTM)
15.4
P/S (TTM)
1.19
P/FCF (TTM)
14.14
Rev YoY
+5.1%
EPS YoY
+29.8%
Gross Margin
+14.9%
Op Margin
+10.8%
Net Debt
$1.65B
Current Ratio
0.45
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data