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GrafTech InternationalC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Volume growth, stronger U.S. demand, repricing of uncommitted volume, manufacturing efficiency, and the Monterrey closure could improve profitability as graphite-electrode conditions recover.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -21.6.
What can break
Graphite-electrode market oversupply could prolong pricing pressure.
Momentum
22
Value
34
Sentiment
66
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.35 · Bull $8.50 · Bear $4.75Analysis 2026-09-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $7.25
Why
Momentum22 · Δ7d -13.4
Value34 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment66 · Δ7d -21.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -21.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Graphite-electrode market oversupply could prolong pricing pressure.
  • • Low analyst coverage and absent social, options, and insider data reduce signal breadth.
  • • The company remains loss-making and cash consuming, while lower realized pricing and an oversupplied electrode market may delay margin recovery.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-02

Planned Monterrey facility closure

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
22
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-13.4
Δ21d
-8.6
Value
34
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-2.9
Sentiment
66
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-21.6
Δ21d
-29.8
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 22.2 / Value 34.2 / Sentiment 66.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-03. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$8.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$6.35
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$4.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$192.04M
Beta
1.63
Shares Out
26.09M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.9
P/S (TTM)
0.84
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-1.56
Rev YoY
-3.4%
EPS YoY
-54.0%
Gross Margin
-5.7%
Op Margin
-17.5%
Net Debt
$961.06M
Current Ratio
4.13
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data