EAF
GrafTech InternationalDNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
At close
2026-07-20
Current thesis
The post-earnings bull case is that Q1 volume growth, a mostly committed 2026 order book, price increases on uncommitted volume, and preserved liquidity of about $329M create a bridge to better H2 pricing and less negative EBITDA. Median analyst target data in the packet at about $10.33 sits above the $8.54 anchor, but coverage is thin.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-07-24 · BMO.
What can break
Gross debt of roughly $1.125B versus cash of about $120M keeps liquidity and refinancing perception important even with no substantial maturities until December 2029. [#10-Q-2026-05-01]
Momentum
3
Value
37
Sentiment
81
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $9.00 · Bull $11.00 · Bear $6.50
Earnings
2026-07-24 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-20
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-20
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $7.00
Why
Momentum3 · Δ7d +0.4
Value37 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment81 · Δ7d -26.2
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
3
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.4
Δ21d
-7.8
Value
37
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
81
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-26.2
Δ21d
+3.4
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 2.5 / Value 37.4 / Sentiment 81.5
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-20
Market Cap
$164.62M
Beta
1.63
Shares Out
26.05M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.7
P/S (TTM)
0.84
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-1.56
Rev YoY
+11.9%
EPS YoY
+8.9%
Gross Margin
-5.7%
Op Margin
-13.2%
Net Debt
$960.7M
Current Ratio
3.33
As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology