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DXPE

DXP EnterprisesA
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 showed strong organic and acquisition-assisted growth, margin expansion, materially better free cash flow, and continued IPS momentum. If integration remains disciplined and water-related demand persists, DXP can justify valuation near or above the $200 median target.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.2.
What can break
Acquisition integration and leverage discipline remain important as growth increasingly includes acquired revenue [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06] [#10-K-2026-02-26].
Momentum
91
Value
59
Sentiment
70
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $200.00 · Bull $225.00 · Bear $150.00Analysis 2026-09-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $200.00
Why
Momentum91 · Δ7d +0.4
Value59 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment70 · Δ7d +2.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Acquisition integration and leverage discipline remain important as growth increasingly includes acquired revenue [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06] [#10-K-2026-02-26].
  • • Form 4 records show open-market sales by certain officers and directors; these filings are a sentiment consideration, not evidence of operating deterioration [#SEC-FORM4-2026-06-11] [#SEC-FORM4-2026-06-15].
  • • Forward visibility remains limited because no specific Q3 guidance was provided in the stored third-party call summary.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-03

Acquisition contribution and integration execution

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
91
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.4
Δ21d
+8.4
Value
59
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+2.1
Sentiment
70
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.2
Δ21d
+8.5
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 90.7 / Value 58.6 / Sentiment 70.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$225.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$200.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$150.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$3.1B
Beta
1.01
Shares Out
15.52M
P/E (TTM)
19.9
P/S (TTM)
0.84
P/FCF (TTM)
38.95
Rev YoY
+15.6%
EPS YoY
+23.0%
Gross Margin
+31.8%
Op Margin
+8.9%
Net Debt
$620.7M
Current Ratio
2.99
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data