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DXPE

DXP EnterprisesA
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 sales rose 15.6% year over year to $576.5 million, adjusted EBITDA rose 22.8%, and free cash flow improved. Continued organic growth, acquisition integration and pumping-solutions margins could support recovery.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.
What can break
Acquisition integration could dilute margins or absorb cash despite strong Q2 results. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
Momentum
65
Value
60
Sentiment
66
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $175.00 · Bull $210.00 · Bear $125.00Analysis 2026-10-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $200.00
Why
Momentum65 · Δ7d -9.8
Value60 · Δ7d +2.0
Sentiment66 · Δ7d -0.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Acquisition integration could dilute margins or absorb cash despite strong Q2 results. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
  • • June 30 total debt was $842.5 million; weaker cash conversion would increase balance-sheet risk. Company earnings release
  • • The sharp October 22 selloff has no confirmed operating explanation in the sources checked.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-15

Cash conversion and segment-margin test

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
65
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.8
Δ21d
-18.9
Value
60
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.0
Δ21d
+3.3
Sentiment
66
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
-0.2
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 65.3 / Value 60.2 / Sentiment 65.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-23. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$210.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$175.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$125.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$2.42B
Beta
1.01
Shares Out
15.52M
P/E (TTM)
19.9
P/S (TTM)
0.84
P/FCF (TTM)
38.95
Rev YoY
+15.6%
EPS YoY
+23.0%
Gross Margin
+31.8%
Op Margin
+8.9%
Net Debt
$620.7M
Current Ratio
2.99
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data