B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$72.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
DOX
AmdocsBNasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The in-line Q3 print, improved non-GAAP margin, strong managed-services mix, backlog growth, and 10-year Liberty Latin America engagement support a cautiously improving long-term narrative around aOS and resilient cash generation.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.0.
What can break
Customer spending, macroeconomic, geopolitical, and trade-policy uncertainty could pressure demand.
Momentum
63
Value
68
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $63.00 · Bull $72.00 · Bear $52.00Analysis 2026-08-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $84.67
Why
Momentum63 · Δ7d -14.4
Value68 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment65 · Δ7d +8.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Customer spending, macroeconomic, geopolitical, and trade-policy uncertainty could pressure demand.
- • Execution and monetization risk for the aOS and agentic-transformation strategy.
- • Growth remains modest, backlog declined sequentially, GAAP EPS was pressured by a large restructuring charge, and management cited macroeconomic uncertainty and customer-spending risk.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-05
Q3 fiscal 2026 results were solid but in line
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
63
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-14.4
Δ21d
+26.7
Value
68
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.9
Sentiment
65
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.0
Δ21d
-0.3
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 63.4 / Value 67.5 / Sentiment 64.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-17. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$63.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$52.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$6.16B
Beta
0.41
Shares Out
107.57M
P/E (TTM)
16.1
P/S (TTM)
1.93
P/FCF (TTM)
20.79
Rev YoY
+2.6%
EPS YoY
-57.5%
Gross Margin
+36.3%
Op Margin
+16.9%
Net Debt
$501.4M
Current Ratio
0.94
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data