DOW

DowD

NYSE / Materials

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

Operational execution and a clearer capital-allocation signal (restored buybacks or higher dividend) combined with a cyclical demand rebound could push the stock materially above current levels toward the high end of published analyst targets.

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-07-23 · BMO.

What can break

A sharp rise in raw-material or energy costs could compress EBITDA and cash flow if higher input prices cannot be passed through to customers [#SERP-1].

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $29.01 · Bull $45.00 · Bear $22.00

Earnings

2026-07-23 · BMO

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-02-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $36.18

Why

Momentum20 · Δ7d +6.6

Value46 · Δ7d -0.4

Sentiment53 · Δ7d -6.6

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+6.6

Δ21d

+9.6

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.4

Δ21d

-0.6

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-6.6

Δ21d

-4.8

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 20.1 / Value 46.4 / Sentiment 52.9

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$21.56B

Beta

0.77

Shares Out

720.74M

P/E (TTM) · Derived

-8.1

P/S (TTM)

0.43

P/FCF (TTM) · Derived

-14.33

Rev YoY

-6.1%

EPS YoY

+69.2%

Gross Margin

+6.0%

Op Margin

-0.9%

Net Debt

$15.26B

Current Ratio

1.85

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology