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DOV

DoverA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case: order-recovery and accelerating margin expansion from pricing and mix, plus accretive M&A or sustained aftermarket growth, push shares toward the high end of consensus (analyst high ~$271) and justify multiple expansion.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.5.
What can break
Execution risk on cost-savings, product rollouts or M&A integration
Momentum
37
Value
59
Sentiment
80
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $217.42 · Bull $271.00 · Bear $145.00Analysis 2026-01-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $251.81
Why
Momentum37 · Δ7d -6.9
Value59 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment80 · Δ7d +3.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Execution risk on cost-savings, product rollouts or M&A integration
  • • Raw-material, freight or labor cost pressures compressing margins
  • • Bear case: persistent end‑market weakness, margin pressure from input costs, or execution shortfalls lead to multiple compression and revenue shortfalls that drive the stock toward the low end of analyst targets.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-30

Near-term quarterly results and guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
37
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.9
Δ21d
+11.8
Value
59
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.3
Sentiment
80
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.5
Δ21d
+7.8
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 37.0 / Value 58.9 / Sentiment 79.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-30. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$271.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$217.42
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$27.81B
Beta
1.29
Shares Out
134.68M
P/E (TTM)
26.3
P/S (TTM)
3.50
P/FCF (TTM)
98.16
Rev YoY
+6.9%
EPS YoY
+13.9%
Gross Margin
+40.1%
Op Margin
+18.1%
Net Debt
$1.91B
Current Ratio
1.98
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data