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DOV

DoverC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Second-quarter revenue rose 7%, organic revenue rose 5%, and adjusted EPS rose 12%. Bookings exceeded shipments, all five segments posted positive organic growth, and Dover raised full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $10.55–$10.75.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.7.
What can break
Capacity and productivity projects have execution risk; the checked release does not establish a dated payoff. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23]
Momentum
68
Value
57
Sentiment
49
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $190.00 · Bull $215.00 · Bear $155.00Analysis 2026-10-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $241.82
Why
Momentum68 · Δ7d -0.6
Value57 · Δ7d -0.7
Sentiment49 · Δ7d -1.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Capacity and productivity projects have execution risk; the checked release does not establish a dated payoff. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23]
  • • Input-cost inflation or weaker operating execution could pressure margins. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23]
  • • Input-cost inflation could outpace pricing or productivity, and bookings may not convert into shipments at the expected pace.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-22

Third-quarter results on October 22

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
68
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
+7.6
Value
57
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.7
Δ21d
-2.4
Sentiment
49
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.5
Δ21d
-12.0
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 68.1 / Value 56.6 / Sentiment 49.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-01. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$215.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$190.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$155.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$26.83B
Beta
1.29
Shares Out
134.68M
P/E (TTM)
26.3
P/S (TTM)
3.50
P/FCF (TTM)
98.16
Rev YoY
+6.9%
EPS YoY
+13.9%
Gross Margin
+40.1%
Op Margin
+18.1%
Net Debt
$1.91B
Current Ratio
1.98
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data