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DORM

Dorman ProductsB
Nasdaq / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Higher EPS guidance, Q2 cash generation and repurchases support upside if margins remain durable after tariff recovery and price reductions. [#8-K-2026-08-03]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-26 · AMC.
What can break
Guidance excludes potential tariff changes after August 3, 2026. SEC earnings exhibit
Momentum
70
Value
56
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $128.00 · Bull $145.00 · Bear $98.00Analysis 2026-09-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-26 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $161.63
Why
Momentum70 · Δ7d +11.0
Value56 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment55 · Δ7d -0.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-26 · AMC.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Guidance excludes potential tariff changes after August 3, 2026. SEC earnings exhibit
  • • IEEPA tariff recovery inflated Q2 earnings and cash flow; targeted price cuts may pressure subsequent margins. [#8-K-2026-08-03]
  • • Sales-growth guidance was reduced, and Q2 adjusted EPS excluding tariff recovery was below the year-earlier figure.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-26 · AMC

Underlying margin after tariff recovery

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
70
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+11.0
Δ21d
+18.2
Value
56
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
55
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-11.1
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 70.4 / Value 55.6 / Sentiment 54.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-25. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$128.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$98.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$3.72B
Beta
0.92
Shares Out
29.68M
P/E (TTM)
15.6
P/S (TTM)
1.80
P/FCF (TTM)
36.37
Rev YoY
+0.7%
EPS YoY
+52.9%
Gross Margin
+41.8%
Op Margin
+17.2%
Net Debt
$511.53M
Current Ratio
3.60
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data