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DORM

Dorman ProductsA
Nasdaq / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Record Q2 EPS, sharply improved gross margin, strong operating cash flow, share repurchases, and higher full-year EPS guidance support a constructive earnings-quality case if tariff recovery and pricing benefits persist. [#IR-2026-08-03]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.4.
What can break
Analyst estimate revisions and target changes are unavailable in the packet, limiting forward visibility.
Momentum
48
Value
56
Sentiment
83
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $148.00 · Bull $172.00 · Bear $118.00Analysis 2026-08-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $162.38
Why
Momentum48 · Δ7d -0.8
Value56 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment83 · Δ7d +5.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst estimate revisions and target changes are unavailable in the packet, limiting forward visibility.
  • • Future tariff changes, pricing execution, supplier constraints, and customer demand could pressure margins or volumes.
  • • Revenue growth guidance was reduced to 3%-5% from 7%-9%, Q2 earnings benefited from IEEPA tariff recovery, and the stock was down about 4.35% on the latest finance snapshot after the print.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-04

Strong Q2 earnings and cash flow, with tariff-recovery support

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
48
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.8
Δ21d
-22.4
Value
56
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+1.1
Sentiment
83
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.4
Δ21d
+6.4
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 47.8 / Value 56.0 / Sentiment 83.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-06. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$172.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$148.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$118.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$3.97B
Beta
0.92
Shares Out
29.68M
P/E (TTM)
15.6
P/S (TTM)
1.80
P/FCF (TTM)
36.37
Rev YoY
+0.7%
EPS YoY
+52.9%
Gross Margin
+41.8%
Op Margin
+17.2%
Net Debt
$511.53M
Current Ratio
3.60
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data