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DKNG

DraftKingsF
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
DraftKings executes user and revenue acceleration in newly launched states, improves marketing efficiency, and demonstrates sustainable margin expansion, leading to multiple expansion and meaningful upside from current levels.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
What can break
Adverse legal outcomes or increased compliance costs
Momentum
19
Value
43
Sentiment
7
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $10.97 · Bull $15.36 · Bear $6.58Analysis 2025-10-10; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-29 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-10-10 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $33.17
Why
Momentum19 · Δ7d +9.4
Value43 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment7 · Δ7d -0.8
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adverse legal outcomes or increased compliance costs
  • • Competition and share loss to FanDuel/Flutter
  • • Slower-than-expected monetization, intensified competition from incumbent operators and FanDuel (Flutter), or adverse regulation increase customer acquisition costs and delay profitability, producing downside from the current price.

Catalyst clock

No dated catalyst is available.

Upcoming quarterly earnings

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
19
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.4
Δ21d
+8.7
Value
43
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
7
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.8
Δ21d
-4.1
Why this grade

Composite grade F. Momentum 18.9 / Value 43.3 / Sentiment 7.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-10-10. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$15.36
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-10-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$10.97
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-10-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$6.58
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-10-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-29
Market Cap
$18.43B
Beta
1.67
Shares Out
496.45M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
4949.7
P/S (TTM)
3.31
P/FCF (TTM)
33.65
Rev YoY
-4.6%
EPS YoY
-146.0%
Gross Margin
+40.5%
Op Margin
-2.8%
Net Debt
$754.68M
Current Ratio
1.02
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data