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DHT

DHTC
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The post-earnings read-through is constructive because the company source confirmed Q1 shipping revenues of $186.3 million, adjusted EBITDA of $133.3 million, and ordinary EPS of $0.64 after excluding vessel-sale and derivative gains. Secondary earnings coverage from StockStory said revenue beat consensus by 22.9% and GAAP EPS beat by 16.6%, while the April 15 company update already showed very strong early Q2 booking levels.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
7 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Analyst-revision evidence was still thin for a T+3 post-earnings follow-up, limiting confidence in whether the beat changes forward estimates enough to justify a sustained premium to the packet’s median target.
Momentum
83
Value
51
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
7 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $18.50 · Bull $22.50 · Bear $14.50Analysis 2026-05-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $21.62
Why
Momentum83 · Δ7d +9.8
Value51 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment57 · Δ7d -0.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • 7 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Analyst-revision evidence was still thin for a T+3 post-earnings follow-up, limiting confidence in whether the beat changes forward estimates enough to justify a sustained premium to the packet’s median target.
  • DHT remains highly exposed to VLCC spot-rate volatility and management itself tied current strength partly to geopolitical risk premiums and temporary vessel-productivity dislocations, which can unwind quickly.
  • The print was helped by a $60.0 million vessel-sale gain; ordinary net income was $103.4 million rather than the headline $164.5 million.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-15

Bauhinia sale closing should add another realized gain but remains one-off

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
83
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.8
Δ21d
+10.9
Value
51
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+6.9
Sentiment
57
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.9
Δ21d
-6.9
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 83.2 / Value 50.9 / Sentiment 57.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$22.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$18.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$14.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$3.04B
Beta
-0.08
Shares Out
161.04M
P/E (TTM)
9.4
P/S (TTM)
3.85
P/FCF (TTM)
70.07
Rev YoY
+122.6%
EPS YoY
+252.6%
Gross Margin
+59.5%
Op Margin
+56.7%
Net Debt
$355.34M
Current Ratio
3.64
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data