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DGXX

Digi Power XD
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The bullish read is that the April 20, 2026 SubQ agreement moves DGXX from pre-revenue AI narrative to first contracted AI revenue, while the company also reported about $78.5 million of cash and cash equivalents and roughly $86.3 million of positive working capital at December 31, 2025, giving it a funding base to pursue the conversion from crypto-linked operations into AI infrastructure [#8-K-2026-04-20] [#10-K-2026-03-31].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -10.3.
What can break
Customer concentration risk is meaningful as the company scales data-center revenue from an initial named customer base, and the 10-K explicitly notes dependence on significant customers for its data centers [#10-K-2026-03-31].
Momentum
8
Value
35
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $3.80 · Bull $5.00 · Bear $2.10Analysis 2026-04-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $9.00
Why
Momentum8 · Δ7d +2.0
Value35 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment57 · Δ7d -10.3
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -10.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Customer concentration risk is meaningful as the company scales data-center revenue from an initial named customer base, and the 10-K explicitly notes dependence on significant customers for its data centers [#10-K-2026-03-31].
  • • Dilution risk remains elevated because the company expanded shelf/ATM capacity on April 9, 2026 and previously used the 2025 ATM program heavily [#S-3-2026-04-09] [#10-K-2026-03-31].
  • • The bearish read is that forward visibility still rests on management rollout targets rather than reported AI operating history: the 10-K shows 2025 total revenue of about $34.2 million but a net loss from continuing operations of about $28.4 million, and both the 10-K and March 2 release warn that revenue realization, additional facility buildout, power access, and financing needs may not occur on the expected timeline [#10-K-2026-03-31] [#PR-2026-03-02].

Catalyst clock

2026-05-15

SubQ AI contract converts the AI pivot into first contracted revenue

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
8
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.0
Δ21d
+2.2
Value
35
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
57
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.3
Δ21d
-8.8
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 8.0 / Value 35.1 / Sentiment 56.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-28. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$5.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$3.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$2.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$191.49M
Beta
9.28
Shares Out
102.06M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-2.9
P/S (TTM)
6.20
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-1.45
Rev YoY
-18.3%
EPS YoY
-36.6%
Gross Margin
-25.4%
Op Margin
-60.0%
Net Debt
-$78.48M
Current Ratio
11.25
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data