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DFIN

Donnelley Financial SolutionsB
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The official Q2 8-K supports a constructive thesis: software growth, stronger capital-markets activity, record adjusted EBITDA margin, free cash flow of $61.2 million, low net leverage of 0.7x, and continued repurchases provide operating and capital-return support. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.1.
What can break
Capital-markets transactional revenue was a major Q2 growth driver and may be sensitive to deal activity.
Momentum
59
Value
48
Sentiment
73
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $54.00 · Bull $64.00 · Bear $42.00Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $64.00
Why
Momentum59 · Δ7d +8.1
Value48 · Δ7d +0.8
Sentiment73 · Δ7d +5.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Capital-markets transactional revenue was a major Q2 growth driver and may be sensitive to deal activity.
  • • No reliable consensus surprise, analyst target changes, or estimate revisions are available in the packet.
  • • The thesis remains exposed to ongoing print and distribution erosion, dependence on capital-markets transaction activity, and execution risk in proving that software and services growth can offset legacy declines.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-30

Q2 results confirmed operating momentum

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
59
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.1
Δ21d
-10.6
Value
48
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.8
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
73
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.1
Δ21d
+0.5
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 58.6 / Value 47.9 / Sentiment 73.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$64.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$54.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$42.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.17B
Beta
0.91
Shares Out
24.59M
P/E (TTM)
45.6
P/S (TTM)
1.69
P/FCF (TTM)
12.50
Rev YoY
+2.8%
EPS YoY
+12.4%
Gross Margin
+56.5%
Op Margin
+19.9%
Net Debt
$157.1M
Current Ratio
1.33
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data