B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$14.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
DEI
Douglas EmmettCNYSE / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 showed strong office leasing, positive absorption, higher lease value, full multifamily occupancy, and continued redevelopment progress. Refinancing reduced near-term maturity pressure, while Bedford adds selective external-growth exposure [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.3.
What can break
Higher market interest rates are expected to more than offset improved operating-income expectations and constrain 2026 FFO [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04].
Momentum
39
Value
63
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $12.80 · Bull $14.50 · Bear $9.50Analysis 2026-08-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $13.20
Why
Momentum39 · Δ7d -4.3
Value63 · Δ7d -
Sentiment62 · Δ7d +9.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Higher market interest rates are expected to more than offset improved operating-income expectations and constrain 2026 FFO [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04].
- • Office occupancy remains pressured by the inclusion and lease-up of Studio Plaza, with 2026 guidance at 75%-77% [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04].
- • The quarter was mixed: FFO per share was flat year over year at $0.37, same-property cash NOI declined to $152 million from $154 million, office occupancy guidance was lowered to 75%-77%, and higher rates are expected to offset improved operating-income expectations [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04].
Catalyst clock
2026-11-05
Refinancing and Bedford JV contribution
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
39
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-4.3
Δ21d
+0.4
Value
63
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
62
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.3
Δ21d
+6.5
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 39.3 / Value 62.9 / Sentiment 62.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-07. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$12.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$9.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.94B
Beta
1.16
Shares Out
167.49M
P/E (TTM)
89.8
P/S (TTM)
1.87
P/FCF (TTM)
44.29
Rev YoY
+1.6%
EPS YoY
-49.6%
Gross Margin
+23.9%
Op Margin
+19.0%
Net Debt
$5.23B
Current Ratio
0.47
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data