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DE

DeereD
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case: Farm-income recovery and an accelerated replacement cycle drive margin expansion, aftermarket strength, and share gains; these dynamics could lift the stock toward the upper analyst range (~$700).
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.9.
What can break
Dealer inventory misalignment causing order volatility
Momentum
86
Value
53
Sentiment
40
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $525.50 · Bull $700.00 · Bear $460.00Analysis 2026-01-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $692.10
Why
Momentum86 · Δ7d +3.7
Value53 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment40 · Δ7d +3.9
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Dealer inventory misalignment causing order volatility
  • • Drop in farm incomes/commodity prices reducing replacement demand
  • • Bear case: Prolonged weakness in crop prices and farm income, dealer destocking, and input-cost-driven margin pressure reduce volumes and EPS, pressing shares into the low-$460s.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-30

Fiscal Q4 / FY2026 quarterly results

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
86
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+3.7
Δ21d
+37.6
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.4
Sentiment
40
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.9
Δ21d
-13.9
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 85.7 / Value 52.8 / Sentiment 39.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-30. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$700.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$525.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$460.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$161.94B
Beta
1.03
Shares Out
269.94M
P/E (TTM)
25.2
P/S (TTM)
2.76
P/FCF (TTM)
83.42
Rev YoY
+4.9%
EPS YoY
+7.4%
Gross Margin
+36.8%
Op Margin
+20.3%
Net Debt
$55.66B
Current Ratio
0.77
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data