B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$700.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
DE
DeereDNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull case: Farm-income recovery and an accelerated replacement cycle drive margin expansion, aftermarket strength, and share gains; these dynamics could lift the stock toward the upper analyst range (~$700).
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.
What can break
Dealer inventory misalignment causing order volatility
Momentum
71
Value
50
Sentiment
39
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $525.50 · Bull $700.00 · Bear $460.00Analysis 2026-01-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $701.00
Why
Momentum71 · Δ7d -21.5
Value50 · Δ7d -0.5
Sentiment39 · Δ7d -0.1
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Dealer inventory misalignment causing order volatility
- • Drop in farm incomes/commodity prices reducing replacement demand
- • Bear case: Prolonged weakness in crop prices and farm income, dealer destocking, and input-cost-driven margin pressure reduce volumes and EPS, pressing shares into the low-$460s.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-30
Fiscal Q4 / FY2026 quarterly results
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
71
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-21.5
Δ21d
-31.2
Value
50
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
39
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+1.2
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 71.4 / Value 49.6 / Sentiment 39.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-30. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$525.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$460.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$174.22B
Beta
1.03
Shares Out
269.63M
P/E (TTM)
25.2
P/S (TTM)
2.76
P/FCF (TTM)
83.42
Rev YoY
+4.9%
EPS YoY
+7.4%
Gross Margin
+36.8%
Op Margin
+20.3%
Net Debt
$55.66B
Current Ratio
0.77
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data