B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$80.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
DBD
Diebold NixdorfANYSE / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 order entry rose 3% year over year, Banking backlog increased sequentially, and adjusted EBITDA grew 8%. If those orders convert and cash generation catches up, the reaffirmed full-year outlook could support upside.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.2.
What can break
Failure to convert Banking backlog and Retail deployments into profitable second-half revenue. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
Momentum
51
Value
70
Sentiment
66
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $66.00 · Bull $80.00 · Bear $48.00Analysis 2026-10-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-28 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-28
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $98.33
Why
Momentum51 · Δ7d +15.7
Value70 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment66 · Δ7d +2.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Failure to convert Banking backlog and Retail deployments into profitable second-half revenue. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
- • Inventory-related cash use may delay the recovery needed to meet the $255 million–$270 million full-year free-cash-flow outlook. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
- • Q2 free cash flow excluding discrete tax payments was negative $11 million, and inventory tied up cash.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-28
October 28 third-quarter results
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
51
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+15.7
Δ21d
+27.5
Value
70
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
66
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.9
Δ21d
-14.3
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 51.4 / Value 69.6 / Sentiment 66.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-11. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$66.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$48.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-28
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-28
Market Cap
$1.97B
Beta
-
Shares Out
33.95M
P/E (TTM)
47.9
P/S (TTM)
0.64
P/FCF (TTM)
9.32
Rev YoY
+1.7%
EPS YoY
+35.0%
Gross Margin
+26.3%
Op Margin
+9.0%
Net Debt
$665.8M
Current Ratio
1.27
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data