B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$92.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-12-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
DASH
DoorDashFNasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Sustained order growth, higher take-rates from ads/subs, and margin recovery drive multiple expansion and higher revenue per order.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Order slowdown, rising driver costs or adverse regulation, and heavy promotions erode revenue per order and compress multiples.
Momentum
89
Value
43
Sentiment
0
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $73.45 · Bull $92.00 · Bear $58.00Analysis 2025-12-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-12-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $261.65
Why
Momentum89 · Δ7d -3.8
Value43 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment0 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Order slowdown, rising driver costs or adverse regulation, and heavy promotions erode revenue per order and compress multiples.
- • Mixed signals. Wait for cleaner trend confirmation.
Catalyst clock
2026-02-05
Quarterly earnings
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
89
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.8
Δ21d
+5.5
Value
43
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.9
Sentiment
0
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 89.1 / Value 43.1 / Sentiment 0.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-12-05. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$73.45
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-12-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$58.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-12-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$92.18B
Beta
1.78
Shares Out
433.32M
P/E (TTM)
117.3
P/S (TTM)
7.73
P/FCF (TTM)
49.05
Rev YoY
+35.6%
EPS YoY
-30.0%
Gross Margin
+45.1%
Op Margin
+5.5%
Net Debt
-$2.49B
Current Ratio
1.35
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data