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DAN

DanaA
NYSE / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Second-quarter sales rose 4% to about $2.0 billion, adjusted EBITDA rose to $207 million, and Dana raised 2026 sales and adjusted EBITDA guidance. Further margin durability, repurchases, and a successful Eaton Mobility closing could support upside.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · BMO.
What can break
Eaton Mobility closing depends on shareholder and regulatory approvals and other conditions; transaction benefits are not yet realized. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
Momentum
69
Value
60
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $28.00 · Bull $35.00 · Bear $20.00Analysis 2026-10-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $38.67
Why
Momentum69 · Δ7d +18.2
Value60 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment67 · Δ7d +9.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · BMO.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Eaton Mobility closing depends on shareholder and regulatory approvals and other conditions; transaction benefits are not yet realized. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
  • • The 10-Q excerpt identifies currency-related hedging treatment but does not quantify the prospective earnings effect. [#10-Q-2026-08-06]
  • • The improved quarter may not persist if vehicle demand, pricing, or cost savings weaken.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28 · BMO

Third-quarter results on October 28

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
69
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+18.2
Δ21d
+31.1
Value
60
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.7
Sentiment
67
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.8
Δ21d
-5.7
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 69.2 / Value 59.8 / Sentiment 67.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$20.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$2.89B
Beta
2.12
Shares Out
107.58M
P/E (TTM)
55.9
P/S (TTM)
0.37
P/FCF (TTM)
64.99
Rev YoY
+3.9%
EPS YoY
-124.6%
Gross Margin
+9.1%
Op Margin
+4.0%
Net Debt
$3.04B
Current Ratio
1.49
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data