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DAL

Delta Air LinesB
NYSE / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 beat, explicit September-quarter margin and EPS outlook, strong first-half free cash flow, investment-grade balance-sheet progress, and dividend increase support a constructive operating case if demand and margin conversion persist. [#IR-2026-07-10]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
12 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
Forward visibility beyond the stated September-quarter outlook is limited, and the packet lacks a reliable realized price-reaction record.
Momentum
35
Value
61
Sentiment
73
Setup hits (3d)
12 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $83.00 · Bull $106.00 · Bear $71.00Analysis 2026-07-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $107.15
Why
Momentum35 · Δ7d -20.8
Value61 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment73 · Δ7d +2.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 12 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Forward visibility beyond the stated September-quarter outlook is limited, and the packet lacks a reliable realized price-reaction record.
  • • Higher labor and crew-related costs may pressure margin conversion.
  • • The stock faces post-print skepticism despite the beat, with the company citing its highest quarterly fuel expense in history and only modest near-term non-fuel unit-cost improvement.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-10

Q2 2026 earnings beat with September-quarter outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
35
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-20.8
Δ21d
-33.4
Value
61
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-2.9
Sentiment
73
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.3
Δ21d
+12.8
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 34.7 / Value 60.8 / Sentiment 72.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-15. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$106.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$83.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$71.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$57.6B
Beta
1.37
Shares Out
657.62M
P/E (TTM)
10.1
P/S (TTM)
0.75
P/FCF (TTM)
17.63
Rev YoY
+18.7%
EPS YoY
-25.4%
Gross Margin
+16.0%
Op Margin
+8.1%
Net Debt
$15.83B
Current Ratio
0.42
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data