B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-03-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
DAKT
DaktronicsANasdaq / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Execution on large-venue LED contract wins and sustained margin expansion drive revenue and operating leverage toward higher free cash flow, justifying upside toward the high analyst targets.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.1.
What can break
Analyst de-coverage or wide target dispersion
Momentum
41
Value
63
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $25.56 · Bull $40.00 · Bear $6.00Analysis 2026-03-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-08-25 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-03-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-08-25
Investment thesis
As of 2026-08-25
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-08-25. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $31.67
Why
Momentum41 · Δ7d -6.2
Value63 · Δ7d -1.3
Sentiment76 · Δ7d +4.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst de-coverage or wide target dispersion
- • Concentrated project revenue timing
- • Loss of margin progress, prolonged capital intensity, or a sharp slowdown in stadium/advertising display demand compresses multiples and pushes valuation toward the low analyst estimate.
Catalyst clock
2026-06-04
Quarterly earnings (next report)
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
41
10% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-6.2
Δ21d
+3.6
Value
63
40% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.3
Δ21d
-0.7
Sentiment
76
49% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.1
Δ21d
+31.9
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 41.0 / Value 62.6 / Sentiment 76.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-03-06. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$25.56
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-03-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$6.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-03-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$963.22M
Beta
1.73
Shares Out
48.31M
P/E (TTM)
149.7
P/S (TTM)
1.28
P/FCF (TTM)
16.04
Rev YoY
+20.9%
EPS YoY
-190.2%
Gross Margin
+27.3%
Op Margin
+7.1%
Net Debt
-$113.51M
Current Ratio
2.31
As of 2026-08-25 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data