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DAC

DanaosB
NYSE / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 call indicates strong contracted-revenue visibility, record backlog, improved dry-bulk contribution, low leverage, and substantial liquidity. The reported analyst median target of $163 implies roughly 15% upside from $141.92, but target count and revision history are unavailable.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.
What can break
Dry-bulk rates and disruption-related freight premiums may normalize.
Momentum
92
Value
66
Sentiment
40
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $145.00 · Bull $175.00 · Bear $110.00Analysis 2026-08-16; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $169.67
Why
Momentum92 · Δ7d -3.2
Value66 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment40 · Δ7d +0.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Dry-bulk rates and disruption-related freight premiums may normalize.
  • • Geopolitical restrictions, tariffs, and supply-chain disruptions could affect vessel operations and demand.
  • • The earnings tailwind is partly tied to multiyear-high Capesize rates and geopolitical disruption.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-04

Q2 2026 call showed record contracted backlog

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
92
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.2
Δ21d
-0.7
Value
66
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
40
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.4
Δ21d
-0.8
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 92.3 / Value 65.7 / Sentiment 39.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-16. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
15%
Probability
Target price
$175.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
40%
Probability
Target price
$110.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$2.88B
Beta
1.07
Shares Out
18.2M
P/E (TTM)
3.8
P/S (TTM)
1.67
P/FCF (TTM)
6.14
Rev YoY
+4.7%
EPS YoY
+16.9%
Gross Margin
+55.1%
Op Margin
+48.4%
Net Debt
-$2.45M
Current Ratio
9.30
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data