RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

CZR

Caesars EntertainmentB
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
The $31 cash consideration provides a defined near-term value reference, while regional growth and a potential digital profitability recovery offer some operating support. Recent analyst targets clustering near $31 reinforce the transaction ceiling rather than a broad standalone upside case.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-27 · AMC.
What can break
Failure to obtain shareholder or regulatory approvals, or other delay or termination of the Fertitta transaction, could cause a substantial price reset [#IR-2026-05-28].
Momentum
59
Value
61
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $30.90 · Bull $31.50 · Bear $22.50Analysis 2026-07-31; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-27 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-31 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $31.27
Why
Momentum59 · Δ7d -11.7
Value61 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment54 · Δ7d -1.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-27 · AMC.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Failure to obtain shareholder or regulatory approvals, or other delay or termination of the Fertitta transaction, could cause a substantial price reset [#IR-2026-05-28].
  • • High leverage remains a material constraint, with approximately $11.8 billion of debt outstanding at June 30, 2026 [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28].
  • • The Q2 print did not show broad operating acceleration: Las Vegas weakened, digital EBITDA declined, consolidated EBITDA fell, and leverage remains high.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-27 · AMC

Q2 results showed a revenue beat but an earnings miss and weaker consolidated profitability

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
59
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-11.7
Δ21d
-23.7
Value
61
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.4
Sentiment
54
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.9
Δ21d
-5.5
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 58.9 / Value 61.2 / Sentiment 54.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-31. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
10%
Probability
Target price
$31.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
65%
Probability
Target price
$30.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$22.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$5.87B
Beta
2.03
Shares Out
203.78M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-11.9
P/S (TTM)
0.43
P/FCF (TTM)
12.85
Rev YoY
+3.0%
EPS YoY
-22.5%
Gross Margin
+37.7%
Op Margin
+17.7%
Net Debt
$24.65B
Current Ratio
0.85
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data