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CYD

China Yuchai InternationalB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Higher larger-engine volumes, stronger power-generation sales and a 2.8-percentage-point gross-margin improvement provide a credible operating upside case [#PR-2026-08-07]. SEC-filed company release
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
What can break
China end-market conditions, competition and currency translation could weaken reported results; the company identifies these as forward-looking risks. SEC-filed company release
Momentum
5
Value
62
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $25.00 · Bull $33.00 · Bear $17.00Analysis 2026-10-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $56.91
Why
Momentum5 · Δ7d -0.2
Value62 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment65 · Δ7d -8.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • China end-market conditions, competition and currency translation could weaken reported results; the company identifies these as forward-looking risks. SEC-filed company release
  • • Receivables of RMB 14.1 billion at June 30, up from RMB 11.0 billion at year-end 2025, create a collections and cash-conversion monitoring risk [#PR-2026-08-07]. SEC-filed company release
  • • Receivables rose substantially during the first half, while agricultural-engine units declined 18.9%.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-07

First-half results set a stronger operating baseline

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
5
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.2
Value
62
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.4
Sentiment
65
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.7
Δ21d
-19.1
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 5.2 / Value 61.7 / Sentiment 64.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-23. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$33.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$25.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$17.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$878.3M
Beta
1.21
Shares Out
37.52M
P/E (TTM)
21.8
P/S (TTM)
0.43
P/FCF (TTM)
30.80
Rev YoY
+34.0%
EPS YoY
+65.8%
Gross Margin
+17.9%
Op Margin
+4.1%
Net Debt
-$832.18M
Current Ratio
2.11
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data