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CYD

China Yuchai InternationalC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
H1 results show strong growth in revenue, units, profitability, and margins, with larger-engine mix providing a credible operating tailwind [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-14].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.6.
What can break
Forward visibility is limited: analyst revisions, consensus surprise comparison, target changes, and post-release price attribution are unavailable.
Momentum
14
Value
61
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $36.30 · Bull $43.60 · Bear $30.60Analysis 2026-08-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $69.26
Why
Momentum14 · Δ7d -7.7
Value61 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment60 · Δ7d +2.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Forward visibility is limited: analyst revisions, consensus surprise comparison, target changes, and post-release price attribution are unavailable.
  • • H1 2026 mix and margin improvement may prove temporary if larger-engine demand or pricing weakens.
  • • The deterministic prior remains neutral with negative expected returns over 5-, 20-, 60-, and 120-day horizons, high uncertainty, sparse coverage, and limited evidence that the H1 margin and mix gains will persist.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-07

H1 2026 earnings momentum

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
14
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.7
Δ21d
-36.9
Value
61
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
60
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.6
Δ21d
-4.7
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 14.5 / Value 60.8 / Sentiment 59.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$43.60
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$36.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$30.60
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.74B
Beta
1.21
Shares Out
37.52M
P/E (TTM)
21.8
P/S (TTM)
0.43
P/FCF (TTM)
30.80
Rev YoY
+34.0%
EPS YoY
+65.8%
Gross Margin
+17.9%
Op Margin
+4.1%
Net Debt
-$832.18M
Current Ratio
2.11
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data