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CX

Cemex SAB de CVB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 showed broad earnings improvement: reported EBITDA rose 24%, free cash flow from operations reached $637 million, and Cemex raised 2026 EBITDA growth guidance to 16%–17%. Sustained savings and Mexico demand could support further gains.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
What can break
A $42 million one-off European settlement boosted reported Q2 EBITDA; extrapolating reported growth would overstate recurring improvement. [#PR-2026-07-23] https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1076378/000119312526313194/d46310dex1.htm
Momentum
39
Value
67
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $9.80 · Bull $11.50 · Bear $7.80Analysis 2026-09-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $14.63
Why
Momentum39 · Δ7d +10.1
Value67 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment54 · Δ7d -1.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A $42 million one-off European settlement boosted reported Q2 EBITDA; extrapolating reported growth would overstate recurring improvement. [#PR-2026-07-23] https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1076378/000119312526313194/d46310dex1.htm
  • • Cemex issued $1.5 billion of 5.750% notes due 2036; interest expense and use of proceeds remain relevant to free-cash-flow and leverage assessment. [#SEC-6K-2026-06-05] https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1076378/000119312526259611/d139221d6k.htm
  • • A favorable $42 million European settlement boosted reported Q2 growth; excluding it, EBITDA growth was 19%.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Test of raised 2026 EBITDA guidance

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
39
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.1
Δ21d
+22.9
Value
67
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-1.2
Sentiment
54
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.1
Δ21d
-16.5
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 39.1 / Value 67.2 / Sentiment 54.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-25. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$11.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$9.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$7.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$15.54B
Beta
1.37
Shares Out
1.51B
P/E (TTM)
18.8
P/S (TTM)
1.13
P/FCF (TTM)
53.52
Rev YoY
+10.6%
EPS YoY
+8.2%
Gross Margin
+32.1%
Op Margin
+12.3%
Net Debt
$6.08B
Current Ratio
0.92
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data