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CW

Curtiss-WrightD
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Sustained defense spending, repeat naval and nuclear-service awards, and continued margin expansion from aftermarket services drive above-consensus growth and justify premium multiple.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.3.
What can break
Concentration risk from major program delays
Momentum
12
Value
50
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $522.00 · Bull $572.00 · Bear $457.00Analysis 2025-09-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-09-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $790.75
Why
Momentum12 · Δ7d -5.1
Value50 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment53 · Δ7d +6.3
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Concentration risk from major program delays
  • • Cyclical weakness in industrial end-markets
  • • Cuts or delays in defense/naval procurement, execution issues on large contracts, or cyclical weakness in industrial end markets compress multiples and revenue growth.

Catalyst clock

No dated catalyst is available.

New/large defense & naval contract wins

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
12
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.1
Δ21d
-11.1
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
53
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.3
Δ21d
+22.6
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 12.3 / Value 49.6 / Sentiment 53.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-09-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$572.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$522.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$457.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$25.71B
Beta
0.92
Shares Out
36.93M
P/E (TTM)
47.8
P/S (TTM)
6.41
P/FCF (TTM)
43.99
Rev YoY
+5.4%
EPS YoY
+27.5%
Gross Margin
+37.7%
Op Margin
+18.9%
Net Debt
$796.74M
Current Ratio
1.60
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data