CVNA
CarvanaDNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
The bull case is that Q1 confirmed Carvana can still pair 40% unit growth with double-digit adjusted EBITDA margin, while management’s Q2 sequential-record guide and 2026 ADESA integration plan support a credible multi-quarter scale story [#IR-2026-04-29].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -6.8.
What can break
Competition is intense and fragmented, including traditional used-vehicle dealers such as CarMax and online automotive platforms including CarGurus and eBay Motors, which can raise customer acquisition, sourcing and pricing pressure [#10-K-2026-02-18].
Momentum
27
Value
44
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
— · Net —
AI TargetsBase $84.00 · Bull $96.00 · Bear $68.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net —
Target $92.00
Why
Momentum27 · Δ7d +1.4
Value44 · Δ7d -0.3
Sentiment59 · Δ7d -6.8
So what
Weak posture. Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
27
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+1.4
Δ21d
+2.5
Value
44
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
+1.0
Sentiment
59
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.8
Δ21d
-10.6
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 26.6 / Value 43.5 / Sentiment 59.2
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$73.86B
Beta
3.57
Shares Out
716.29M
P/E (TTM)
98.1
P/S (TTM)
5.12
P/FCF (TTM)
171.35
Rev YoY
+52.0%
EPS YoY
+11.4%
Gross Margin
+19.4%
Op Margin
+9.3%
Net Debt
$2.74B
Current Ratio
4.09
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology