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CTVA

CortevaC
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The company delivered strong first-half earnings, raised full-year guidance, and is progressing toward the October separation. Demand for differentiated seed technology, licensing income, new crop-protection products and productivity actions could support continued earnings growth.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
Analyst revisions were constructive but ratings were maintained, so they do not establish a fresh positive consensus shift.
Momentum
43
Value
50
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $86.00 · Bull $100.00 · Bear $65.00Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $91.45
Why
Momentum43 · Δ7d +12.9
Value50 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment63 · Δ7d -2.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst revisions were constructive but ratings were maintained, so they do not establish a fresh positive consensus shift.
  • • Crop-protection pricing pressure, particularly in Latin America.
  • • The Q2 revenue miss, crop-protection pricing pressure, volume timing effects and separation execution create downside risk.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-15

Q2 beat and FY2026 outlook increase

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
43
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+12.9
Δ21d
+20.7
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-5.2
Sentiment
63
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-2.0
Δ21d
-18.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 43.4 / Value 50.4 / Sentiment 62.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$100.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$86.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$65.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$50.71B
Beta
0.75
Shares Out
667.2M
P/E (TTM)
27.7
P/S (TTM)
2.62
P/FCF (TTM)
21.01
Rev YoY
-1.2%
EPS YoY
-9.9%
Gross Margin
+45.4%
Op Margin
+16.7%
Net Debt
-$1.74B
Current Ratio
1.52
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data