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CTSH

Cognizant SolutionsC
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The best near-term bull argument is that Q1 showed credible demand signals underneath the macro noise: bookings rose 21%, Financial Services led segment growth, large-deal activity strengthened, and management raised full-year adjusted operating margin guidance. If Project Leap savings and Astreya integration improve mix without hurting delivery, the stock can rerate from a low-growth services frame toward a cleaner AI-enabled productivity story.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.7.
What can break
Cautious client IT spending is still constraining near-term revenue visibility, with Reuters saying Q2 guidance came in below Wall Street expectations.
Momentum
81
Value
68
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $52.00 · Bull $58.00 · Bear $46.00Analysis 2026-05-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $63.26
Why
Momentum81 · Δ7d -1.4
Value68 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment50 · Δ7d +10.7
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Cautious client IT spending is still constraining near-term revenue visibility, with Reuters saying Q2 guidance came in below Wall Street expectations.
  • Operating cash flow in Q1 was $274 million versus $400 million a year earlier, leaving less room for execution misses if working capital stays pressured.
  • The bear case is that the market reaction focused on the more important short-cycle issue: Q2 revenue guidance was soft relative to expectations and Reuters tied that to cautious IT spending.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-29

Q1 print showed solid bookings and a margin-guide lift, but the near-term revenue guide stayed soft

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
81
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.4
Δ21d
-8.6
Value
68
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
50
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.7
Δ21d
-2.0
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 81.2 / Value 68.2 / Sentiment 50.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-05. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$58.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$52.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$46.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$25.5B
Beta
0.95
Shares Out
450.44M
P/E (TTM)
16.0
P/S (TTM)
1.89
P/FCF (TTM)
19.29
Rev YoY
+4.5%
EPS YoY
+4.1%
Gross Margin
+30.7%
Op Margin
+16.1%
Net Debt
-$750M
Current Ratio
2.18
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data