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CTRI

CenturiA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Record revenue, strong bookings, a 1.3x book-to-bill ratio, growing backlog and pipeline, raised 2026 guidance, and data-center exposure support continued growth. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.5.
What can break
Analyst estimate revisions, target changes, and verified post-release market reaction are unavailable.
Momentum
29
Value
52
Sentiment
78
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $23.00 · Bull $31.00 · Bear $17.00Analysis 2026-09-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $28.33
Why
Momentum29 · Δ7d +3.0
Value52 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment78 · Δ7d +3.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst estimate revisions, target changes, and verified post-release market reaction are unavailable.
  • • Backlog and data-center pipeline may convert more slowly or at lower margins than expected.
  • • Near-term margin pressure from fuel costs, workforce expansion, and JJ White integration could limit conversion of strong demand into earnings and cash flow.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-04

Q2 record revenue and raised 2026 outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
29
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+3.0
Δ21d
+13.1
Value
52
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
78
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+3.5
Δ21d
-1.3
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 28.8 / Value 51.5 / Sentiment 78.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-06. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$31.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$23.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$17.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.95B
Beta
-
Shares Out
100.96M
P/E (TTM)
917.2
P/S (TTM)
0.92
P/FCF (TTM)
38.64
Rev YoY
+32.9%
EPS YoY
-33.7%
Gross Margin
+6.9%
Op Margin
+2.9%
Net Debt
$811.48M
Current Ratio
1.82
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data