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CSW

CSW IndustrialsA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Record growth, margin expansion, acquisition synergies, cash-flow generation, and deleveraging support a positive medium-term thesis. The company also reported continued share repurchases while management described the stock as undervalued.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.1.
What can break
Acquisition integration or synergy delivery could disappoint after substantial deal spending.
Momentum
75
Value
52
Sentiment
83
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $352.00 · Bull $380.00 · Bear $270.00Analysis 2026-09-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $351.86
Why
Momentum75 · Δ7d -15.9
Value52 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment83 · Δ7d +6.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Acquisition integration or synergy delivery could disappoint after substantial deal spending.
  • • Engineered Building Solutions showed lower organic revenue in fiscal Q1.
  • • The thesis depends on continued acquisition execution and organic growth.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-30

Record fiscal Q1 and constructive FY2027 outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
75
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-15.9
Δ21d
-29.9
Value
52
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.4
Sentiment
83
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.1
Δ21d
+11.9
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 75.5 / Value 51.9 / Sentiment 82.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-01. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$380.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$352.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$270.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$5.58B
Beta
0.83
Shares Out
16.29M
P/E (TTM)
36.1
P/S (TTM)
5.32
P/FCF (TTM)
39.33
Rev YoY
+33.0%
EPS YoY
+25.3%
Gross Margin
+42.4%
Op Margin
+18.2%
Net Debt
$910.98M
Current Ratio
2.70
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data