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CSW

CSW IndustrialsC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Fiscal Q1 delivered record adjusted EBITDA of $102 million, adjusted EPS of $3.84 and operating cash flow of $76 million. Continued organic growth, pricing benefits and acquisition integration could support upside.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
What can break
Acquisitions accounted for $73.0 million of fiscal Q1's $87.0 million revenue increase; slower organic growth could undermine the thesis. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-30]
Momentum
56
Value
51
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $318.00 · Bull $370.00 · Bear $230.00Analysis 2026-10-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $351.86
Why
Momentum56 · Δ7d +16.7
Value51 · Δ7d -0.7
Sentiment60 · Δ7d -5.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -5.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Acquisitions accounted for $73.0 million of fiscal Q1's $87.0 million revenue increase; slower organic growth could undermine the thesis. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-30]
  • • Higher material and freight costs partly offset pricing benefits, and Engineered Building Solutions had lower organic revenue. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-30]
  • • Most reported revenue growth came from acquisitions, while one segment's organic revenue declined.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · BMO

Test whether fiscal Q1 organic growth persists

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
56
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+16.7
Δ21d
+9.6
Value
51
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.7
Δ21d
-0.9
Sentiment
60
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.1
Δ21d
-7.2
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 56.3 / Value 51.1 / Sentiment 60.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-01. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$370.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$318.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$230.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$4.82B
Beta
0.83
Shares Out
16.29M
P/E (TTM)
36.1
P/S (TTM)
5.32
P/FCF (TTM)
39.33
Rev YoY
+33.0%
EPS YoY
+25.3%
Gross Margin
+42.4%
Op Margin
+18.2%
Net Debt
$910.98M
Current Ratio
2.70
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data