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Carriage ServicesA
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Operational execution, preneed pricing and production, financial revenue growth, and expanding adjusted EBITDA margins may provide a durable earnings offset to softer funeral volumes. Acquisition activity could add longer-term growth optionality.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.5.
What can break
Analyst revisions, target changes, and the precise post-release market reaction are unavailable in the packet.
Momentum
12
Value
63
Sentiment
82
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $38.00 · Bull $44.00 · Bear $29.00Analysis 2026-08-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $51.80
Why
Momentum12 · Δ7d -0.2
Value63 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment82 · Δ7d +7.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Analyst revisions, target changes, and the precise post-release market reaction are unavailable in the packet.
  • Comparable funeral volume declined 3.5% in Q2 and 4.7% for the first half, reflecting softer mortality trends. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
  • Mortality and comparable funeral volume remain the central risks.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-05

Q2 results and guidance confirmation

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
12
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-2.4
Value
63
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.8
Sentiment
82
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.5
Δ21d
+7.6
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 12.3 / Value 62.8 / Sentiment 81.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$44.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$38.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$29.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$552.07M
Beta
0.95
Shares Out
15.88M
P/E (TTM)
13.5
P/S (TTM)
1.61
P/FCF (TTM)
20.77
Rev YoY
+0.5%
EPS YoY
+3.6%
Gross Margin
+35.1%
Op Margin
+23.4%
Net Debt
$550.82M
Current Ratio
1.46
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data