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CSV

Carriage ServicesB
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Pricing, preneed production, financial revenue, and cost discipline supported Q2 adjusted EBITDA growth and margin expansion despite lower funeral volume. Volume normalization plus disciplined acquisitions could create meaningful upside from the $30.92 anchor.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28.
What can break
A 4.0x bank leverage ratio limits tolerance for acquisition underperformance or weaker cash generation.
Momentum
71
Value
61
Sentiment
47
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $33.00 · Bull $42.00 · Bear $23.00Analysis 2026-09-18; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-18 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $51.00
Why
Momentum71 · Δ7d +8.7
Value61 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment47 · Δ7d +3.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A 4.0x bank leverage ratio limits tolerance for acquisition underperformance or weaker cash generation.
  • • Acquisition timing, financing, integration, and purchase discipline remain uncertain.
  • • Mortality-driven volume weakness persisted through the first half, free cash flow was pressured by higher capital spending in the stored earnings summary, and leverage remained 4.0x.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28

Funeral-volume stabilization

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
71
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+8.7
Δ21d
+38.6
Value
61
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-1.3
Sentiment
47
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+3.2
Δ21d
-19.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 71.1 / Value 61.2 / Sentiment 47.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-18. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$42.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$33.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$23.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$562.39M
Beta
0.95
Shares Out
15.88M
P/E (TTM)
13.5
P/S (TTM)
1.61
P/FCF (TTM)
20.77
Rev YoY
+0.5%
EPS YoY
+3.6%
Gross Margin
+35.1%
Op Margin
+23.4%
Net Debt
$550.82M
Current Ratio
1.46
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data