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CSL

Carlisle CompaniesA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Primary company sources support a resilient Q1: adjusted EPS rose to $3.63 from $3.61, adjusted EBITDA margin improved 50 bps to 22.3%, and management reaffirmed 2026 revenue and margin outlook despite weather and input-cost pressure [#PR-2026-04-23].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.1.
What can break
CWT margin pressure and lower volumes show not all segments are offsetting demand softness equally.
Momentum
52
Value
63
Sentiment
74
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $370.00 · Bull $395.00 · Bear $325.00Analysis 2026-05-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $411.88
Why
Momentum52 · Δ7d -19.6
Value63 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment74 · Δ7d +4.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • CWT margin pressure and lower volumes show not all segments are offsetting demand softness equally.
  • • Middle East conflict and petrochemical supply-chain disruption are raising raw-material and freight costs.
  • • The same primary evidence also shows organic revenue down 5%, CCM revenue down 5.1%, CWT revenue down 1.1%, and CWT adjusted EBITDA margin down to 15.2%, suggesting the setup is still more defensive execution than broad demand acceleration [#PR-2026-04-23].

Catalyst clock

2026-06-30

Pricing actions and freight surcharges are the main near-term margin defense

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
52
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-19.6
Δ21d
-15.8
Value
63
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.9
Sentiment
74
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.1
Δ21d
+7.3
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 52.1 / Value 62.8 / Sentiment 73.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$395.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$370.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$325.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$14.32B
Beta
0.93
Shares Out
39.71M
P/E (TTM)
19.0
P/S (TTM)
2.77
P/FCF (TTM)
17.88
Rev YoY
+8.3%
EPS YoY
+6.9%
Gross Margin
+35.2%
Op Margin
+20.5%
Net Debt
$1.91B
Current Ratio
2.60
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data