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CSL

Carlisle CompaniesB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 revenue rose 8% to $1.57 billion and adjusted EPS rose 12% to $7.03. Solid re-roofing demand, productivity gains and eventual price recovery could support further earnings growth.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · AMC.
What can break
Customer pre-buying ahead of price increases may have pulled demand into Q2; commercial new construction remained soft. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
Momentum
71
Value
61
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $350.00 · Bull $405.00 · Bear $265.00Analysis 2026-10-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $400.67
Why
Momentum71 · Δ7d +20.3
Value61 · Δ7d -0.7
Sentiment55 · Δ7d -5.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · AMC.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Customer pre-buying ahead of price increases may have pulled demand into Q2; commercial new construction remained soft. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]
  • • Director Jesse Singh resigned in September following a change in employment; the company stated there was no disagreement over operations, policies or practices. This is a governance-monitoring item, not evidence of an operating problem. [#8-K-2026-09-10]
  • • Q2 adjusted EBITDA margin fell 70 basis points year over year to 26.2%, as input and freight inflation outran pricing; commercial new construction remained soft.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28 · AMC

Next results test pricing recovery and the 2026 outlook

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
71
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+20.3
Δ21d
+41.0
Value
61
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.7
Δ21d
-1.3
Sentiment
55
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.6
Δ21d
-22.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 70.9 / Value 61.4 / Sentiment 54.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$405.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$350.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$265.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$13.74B
Beta
0.93
Shares Out
39.71M
P/E (TTM)
19.0
P/S (TTM)
2.77
P/FCF (TTM)
17.88
Rev YoY
+8.3%
EPS YoY
+6.9%
Gross Margin
+35.2%
Op Margin
+20.5%
Net Debt
$1.91B
Current Ratio
2.60
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data