CSAN
CosanCNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
The constructive case is that 2025 asset sales, equity raising, and liability management materially improved Cosan's capital structure, so even modest stabilization in portfolio cash generation could compress the holdco discount from depressed levels [#PR-2026-03-10].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.4.
What can break
Brazil rates, FX, and policy volatility can pressure both financing costs and ADR sentiment.
Momentum
18
Value
54
Sentiment
69
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $4.40 · Bull $5.30 · Bear $3.30
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $4.37
Why
Momentum18 · Δ7d +11.2
Value54 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment69 · Δ7d +0.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
18
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+11.2
Δ21d
+8.6
Value
54
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
69
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.4
Δ21d
-5.9
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 17.7 / Value 53.5 / Sentiment 69.0
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-20
Market Cap
$2.97B
Beta
1.12
Shares Out
979.74M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-1.1
P/S (TTM)
0.49
P/FCF (TTM)
10.79
Rev YoY
+4.0%
EPS YoY
-53.2%
Gross Margin
+33.6%
Op Margin
+3.9%
Net Debt
$7.44B
Current Ratio
1.87
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology