B+
Bull case
15%
Probability
Target price
$45.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
CRI
Carter'sCNYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Successful inventory digestion and margin recovery drive same-store-sales stabilization and multiple expansion, delivering meaningful upside vs. the anchor.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-10.
What can break
Concentration exposure to wholesale/partners
Momentum
16
Value
71
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $29.00 · Bull $45.00 · Bear $22.00Analysis 2026-01-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $42.29
Why
Momentum16 · Δ7d +2.0
Value71 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment60 · Δ7d +9.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bearish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-10.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Concentration exposure to wholesale/partners
- • Deeper-than-expected markdowns
- • Continued promotional pressure and inventory overhang force markdowns and analyst downgrades, pushing valuation into the low‑twenties.
Catalyst clock
2026-02-28
Post-holiday retail and inventory read-through
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
16
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+2.0
Δ21d
-17.3
Value
71
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+7.8
Sentiment
60
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.0
Δ21d
+20.6
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 16.1 / Value 70.8 / Sentiment 60.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$29.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.39B
Beta
1.05
Shares Out
36.71M
P/E (TTM)
13.5
P/S (TTM)
0.43
P/FCF (TTM)
76.32
Rev YoY
+5.2%
EPS YoY
+46921.3%
Gross Margin
+48.6%
Op Margin
+8.9%
Net Debt
$725.05M
Current Ratio
2.47
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data