B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$15.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CRESY
CresudCNasdaq / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Strong crop yields, record planted area, livestock profitability, and lower financing costs could support earnings and asset-value recovery. The available analyst median target of $15.505 implies substantial upside, but target coverage is unconfirmed.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.7.
What can break
BrasilAgro production was lower after sugarcane damage from freezing and drought.
Momentum
66
Value
59
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $11.50 · Bull $15.50 · Bear $8.50Analysis 2026-08-19; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-19 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $16.00
Why
Momentum66 · Δ7d +33.8
Value59 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment58 · Δ7d +1.7
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.7.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • BrasilAgro production was lower after sugarcane damage from freezing and drought.
- • Commodity prices and exchange rates remain important to crop profitability.
- • Input-cost inflation, commodity-price sensitivity, weaker BrasilAgro production, limited real-estate sales, and uncertain cash-flow conversion could offset operating gains.
Catalyst clock
2026-09-05
FY2026 results test record agricultural volumes against margin pressure
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
66
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+33.8
Δ21d
+40.3
Value
59
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+4.0
Sentiment
58
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.7
Δ21d
-33.0
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 66.4 / Value 58.8 / Sentiment 58.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-19. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$11.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$8.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$724.39M
Beta
0.75
Shares Out
64.87M
P/E (TTM)
13.8
P/S (TTM)
1.39
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
24.13
Rev YoY
-21.8%
EPS YoY
-56.2%
Gross Margin
+39.6%
Op Margin
+18.1%
Net Debt
$828.5M
Current Ratio
1.43
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data