B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$285.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CRDO
Credo GroupBNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q1 print showed exceptional operating momentum: revenue grew 114.7% year over year, non-GAAP EPS grew 140% year over year, and cash and short-term investments were $764.3 million [#SEC-8K-2026-09-01]. Successful optical and AEC expansion could justify a recovery toward the upper analyst-target range.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +27.8.
What can break
Gross-margin guidance is below the latest reported non-GAAP margin of 68.0%, creating mix and profitability risk [#SEC-8K-2026-09-01].
Momentum
38
Value
48
Sentiment
77
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $220.00 · Bull $285.00 · Bear $145.00Analysis 2026-09-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $287.11
Why
Momentum38 · Δ7d -49.2
Value48 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment77 · Δ7d +27.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +27.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Gross-margin guidance is below the latest reported non-GAAP margin of 68.0%, creating mix and profitability risk [#SEC-8K-2026-09-01].
- • High hyperscaler and AI-infrastructure exposure increases customer-concentration and end-market sensitivity.
- • The roughly 20% post-print decline shows that expectations were exceptionally high.
Catalyst clock
2026-09-02
Q1 FY2027 beat followed by sharp expectation reset
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
38
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-49.2
Δ21d
-36.6
Value
48
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.8
Sentiment
77
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+27.8
Δ21d
+45.5
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 37.6 / Value 47.9 / Sentiment 77.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-04. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$220.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$52.74B
Beta
2.66
Shares Out
186.48M
P/E (TTM)
122.5
P/S (TTM)
31.82
P/FCF (TTM)
176.40
Rev YoY
+157.0%
EPS YoY
+336.8%
Gross Margin
+68.0%
Op Margin
+34.0%
Net Debt
-$1.42B
Current Ratio
10.15
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data