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CRDO

Credo GroupA
Nasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Fiscal Q1 revenue grew 114.7% year over year, and the fiscal Q2 revenue guide implies further sequential growth. Sustained optical adoption could add to Credo's established copper-connectivity growth.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-10-25.
What can break
Failure to meet fiscal Q2 revenue or gross-margin guidance. [#SEC-8K-2026-09-01]
Momentum
35
Value
51
Sentiment
83
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $150.00 · Bull $190.00 · Bear $105.00Analysis 2026-10-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $283.09
Why
Momentum35 · Δ7d -32.4
Value51 · Δ7d +0.8
Sentiment83 · Δ7d -32.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bearish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-10-25.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -32.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Failure to meet fiscal Q2 revenue or gross-margin guidance. [#SEC-8K-2026-09-01]
  • • October competition and rollout headlines warrant monitoring, but their operating impact has not been verified against company disclosures.
  • • The optical target and 2027 cable shipment require execution; product announcements do not establish volumes or margins.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-15

Fiscal Q2 revenue and margin guidance test

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
35
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-32.4
Δ21d
+8.4
Value
51
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.8
Δ21d
+1.4
Sentiment
83
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-32.0
Δ21d
-6.9
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 35.2 / Value 50.8 / Sentiment 82.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$190.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$150.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$105.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$27.68B
Beta
2.66
Shares Out
187.95M
P/E (TTM)
122.5
P/S (TTM)
31.82
P/FCF (TTM)
176.40
Rev YoY
+157.0%
EPS YoY
+336.8%
Gross Margin
+68.0%
Op Margin
+34.0%
Net Debt
-$1.42B
Current Ratio
10.15
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data