B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$225.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CRAI
CRA InternationalBNasdaq / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
CRAI entered FY2026 with record Q1 revenue, broad practice-level growth, reaffirmed full-year guidance, and ongoing capital returns. The August 6 call could validate demand and pipeline momentum.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.8.
What can break
Analyst revision, consensus-surprise, options, social, and post-earnings price-reaction data are unavailable or unconfirmed.
Momentum
38
Value
48
Sentiment
73
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $180.00 · Bull $225.00 · Bear $145.00Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $250.50
Why
Momentum38 · Δ7d -12.5
Value48 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment73 · Δ7d +9.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst revision, consensus-surprise, options, social, and post-earnings price-reaction data are unavailable or unconfirmed.
- • CEO and general-counsel Form 4 filings showed open-market sales in May-June; this is a sentiment signal, not evidence about operating performance. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-06-05]
- • The Q1 print showed weak earnings conversion despite revenue growth, with lower EPS and EBITDA.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-06
Q2 FY2026 results call is scheduled for August 6
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
38
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-12.5
Δ21d
-3.8
Value
48
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
73
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.8
Δ21d
+2.1
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 38.1 / Value 47.6 / Sentiment 73.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$180.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.03B
Beta
0.90
Shares Out
6.28M
P/E (TTM)
25.6
P/S (TTM)
1.91
P/FCF (TTM)
93.95
Rev YoY
+12.8%
EPS YoY
+17.5%
Gross Margin
+27.3%
Op Margin
+10.0%
Net Debt
$109.02M
Current Ratio
0.82
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data