B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$225.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CRAI
CRA InternationalDNasdaq / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
CRAI entered FY2026 with record Q1 revenue, broad practice-level growth, reaffirmed full-year guidance, and ongoing capital returns. The August 6 call could validate demand and pipeline momentum.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29.
What can break
Analyst revision, consensus-surprise, options, social, and post-earnings price-reaction data are unavailable or unconfirmed.
Momentum
86
Value
45
Sentiment
44
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $180.00 · Bull $225.00 · Bear $145.00Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $250.50
Why
Momentum86 · Δ7d +3.6
Value45 · Δ7d -0.8
Sentiment44 · Δ7d -13.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst revision, consensus-surprise, options, social, and post-earnings price-reaction data are unavailable or unconfirmed.
- • CEO and general-counsel Form 4 filings showed open-market sales in May-June; this is a sentiment signal, not evidence about operating performance. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-06-05]
- • The Q1 print showed weak earnings conversion despite revenue growth, with lower EPS and EBITDA.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-29
Q2 FY2026 results call is scheduled for August 6
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
86
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+3.6
Δ21d
+30.0
Value
45
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.8
Δ21d
-1.0
Sentiment
44
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-13.6
Δ21d
-26.8
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 85.8 / Value 44.6 / Sentiment 43.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$180.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.26B
Beta
0.90
Shares Out
6.28M
P/E (TTM)
25.6
P/S (TTM)
1.91
P/FCF (TTM)
93.95
Rev YoY
+12.8%
EPS YoY
+17.5%
Gross Margin
+27.3%
Op Margin
+10.0%
Net Debt
$109.02M
Current Ratio
0.82
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data