B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$20.67
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CPRI
CapriANYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q1 earnings beat and maintained adjusted EPS outlook suggest cost actions and brand initiatives may be offsetting weaker revenue trends. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.9.
What can break
FY2027 revenue outlook is approximately $3.4 billion after Q1 revenue declined 3.5%.
Momentum
7
Value
51
Sentiment
86
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $14.50 · Bull $20.67 · Bear $10.50Analysis 2026-08-19; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-19 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $20.67
Why
Momentum7 · Δ7d -0.8
Value51 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment86 · Δ7d +3.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • FY2027 revenue outlook is approximately $3.4 billion after Q1 revenue declined 3.5%.
- • Michael Kors inventory levels, EMEA demand, and foreign-exchange assumptions remain near-term pressure points.
- • Revenue declined year over year, and management highlighted Michael Kors inventory constraints and softer EMEA trends, leaving the turnaround vulnerable to further execution misses.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-05
Q1 FY2027 beat with mixed outlook
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
7
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.8
Δ21d
+0.2
Value
51
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+1.8
Sentiment
86
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.9
Δ21d
-15.5
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 6.7 / Value 51.2 / Sentiment 86.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-19. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$14.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.67B
Beta
1.45
Shares Out
113.65M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
19.0
P/S (TTM)
0.74
P/FCF (TTM)
734.82
Rev YoY
-3.5%
EPS YoY
+33.6%
Gross Margin
+59.3%
Op Margin
+2.4%
Net Debt
$1.28B
Current Ratio
1.19
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data