B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$17.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CPHC
Canterbury ParkCNasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The dividend policy provides modest shareholder-return support, while the racetrack/casino platform and approximately 140 acres of potential mixed-use development offer longer-term optionality [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-06-12].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Future dividend continuity and land-development outcomes are not guaranteed.
Momentum
61
Value
60
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $14.70 · Bull $17.50 · Bear $13.77Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum61 · Δ7d -
Value60 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment57 · Δ7d -
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Future dividend continuity and land-development outcomes are not guaranteed.
- • Live racing and related revenue are seasonal, while casino, entertainment, and development execution remain exposed to local demand and operating risks.
- • The deterministic prior is negative, with expected returns of -5.44% over 20 days and -11.43% over 120 days.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-06
Q2 2026 earnings follow-up remains unconfirmed
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
61
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
60
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+3.1
Sentiment
57
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 60.7 / Value 59.9 / Sentiment 57.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$14.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$13.77
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$81.02M
Beta
-0.44
Shares Out
5.18M
P/E (TTM)
516.3
P/S (TTM)
1.32
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
21.04
Rev YoY
+3.2%
EPS YoY
-55.6%
Gross Margin
+28.7%
Op Margin
+4.5%
Net Debt
-$20.71M
Current Ratio
2.24
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data