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CPB

Campbell'sB
Nasdaq / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The bull case is that March's guide cut and Snacks miss reset expectations enough that incremental improvement in Snacks service levels, cost savings, and Rao's growth can drive a rerating from a low base. The May 2026 La Regina transaction also strengthens a key growth brand's supply chain.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
4 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
Balance-sheet leverage remains meaningful, with long-term debt of about $6.65 billion at February 1, 2026.
Momentum
54
Value
60
Sentiment
69
Setup hits (3d)
4 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $22.50 · Bull $25.50 · Bear $17.50Analysis 2026-05-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-09-03 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $19.50
Why
Momentum54 · Δ7d +3.1
Value60 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment69 · Δ7d +12.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bearish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 4 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-08.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +12.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Balance-sheet leverage remains meaningful, with long-term debt of about $6.65 billion at February 1, 2026.
  • • FY2026 guidance was lowered on March 11, 2026, reducing the margin for further execution misses.
  • • The bear case is that Campbell's problems are not just weather-related: Snacks volume/mix was weak, partner-brand and fresh-bakery constraints persisted, and FY2026 guidance was lowered materially.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-04

La Regina stake adds strategic support to Rao's supply chain

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
54
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.1
Δ21d
+6.1
Value
60
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-2.3
Sentiment
69
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+12.5
Δ21d
+9.6
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 53.7 / Value 60.3 / Sentiment 69.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-15. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$25.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$22.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$17.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-09-03
Market Cap
$6.76B
Beta
-0.04
Shares Out
298.21M
P/E (TTM)
13.8
P/S (TTM)
0.78
P/FCF (TTM)
35.50
Rev YoY
-4.4%
EPS YoY
+87.9%
Gross Margin
+28.5%
Op Margin
+11.9%
Net Debt
$6.73B
Current Ratio
0.87
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data