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COLM

Columbia SportswearA
Nasdaq / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
International resilience, Columbia footwear traction, and a cash-rich balance sheet could support a higher valuation if the October 29 results show durable underlying margins rather than tariff-driven gains. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
What can break
Full-year operating cash-flow guidance was reduced to $290–310 million from $300–330 million in July. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
Momentum
72
Value
62
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $63.00 · Bull $72.00 · Bear $50.00Analysis 2026-10-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $70.20
Why
Momentum72 · Δ7d +6.0
Value62 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment61 · Δ7d +1.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Full-year operating cash-flow guidance was reduced to $290–310 million from $300–330 million in July. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
  • • July's higher profit guidance includes substantial IEEPA tariff-refund benefits; reported margin may overstate recurring improvement. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
  • • U.S.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · AMC

October 29 third-quarter results—not yet released

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
72
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.0
Δ21d
+18.9
Value
62
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-1.2
Sentiment
61
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.4
Δ21d
-14.0
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 71.7 / Value 62.1 / Sentiment 60.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-27. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$72.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$63.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$50.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$3.13B
Beta
0.90
Shares Out
51.19M
P/E (TTM)
16.5
P/S (TTM)
0.86
P/FCF (TTM)
28.66
Rev YoY
+1.5%
EPS YoY
-378.3%
Gross Margin
+52.0%
Op Margin
+7.6%
Net Debt
-$313.11M
Current Ratio
2.49
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data