B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$16.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
COLD
Americold Realty TrustBNYSE / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bullish interpretation: the EQT joint venture is a real forward-looking company-specific catalyst because Americold expects roughly $1.1B of net cash proceeds for debt repayment while retaining a 30% interest and management role. If the transaction closes on the expected Q3 2026 timeline and operating volumes stabilize, the market could begin to give credit for deleveraging and capital flexibility.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Higher energy costs and interest expense can keep AFFO and Core FFO under pressure even if revenue stabilizes.
Momentum
57
Value
63
Sentiment
49
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $14.60 · Bull $16.00 · Bear $12.80Analysis 2026-05-21; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-21 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $16.06
Why
Momentum57 · Δ7d -4.5
Value63 · Δ7d -
Sentiment49 · Δ7d -4.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Higher energy costs and interest expense can keep AFFO and Core FFO under pressure even if revenue stabilizes.
- • Meaningful stockholder dissent at the annual meeting could keep governance headlines and boardroom distractions in the tape.
- • Bearish interpretation: Q1 operating pressure, lower warehouse NOI, and higher energy costs still matter more than the JV until closing conditions and regulatory approvals are cleared.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-07
Q1 2026 results showed margin pressure and weaker warehouse activity
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
57
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-4.5
Δ21d
-10.7
Value
63
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
49
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.0
Δ21d
-13.7
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 57.0 / Value 63.4 / Sentiment 49.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-21. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$14.60
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$12.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$4.13B
Beta
0.92
Shares Out
285.48M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-36.1
P/S (TTM)
1.43
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
48.87
Rev YoY
+1.9%
EPS YoY
-22229.6%
Gross Margin
+17.1%
Op Margin
+6.4%
Net Debt
$4.36B
Current Ratio
0.36
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data