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COKE

Coca-Cola ConsolidatedC
Nasdaq / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The primary-source read is still constructive on core demand: Q1 volume rose 13.4% reported and 6.4% adjusted, adjusted net sales rose 8.5%, and management cited market share gains across the portfolio, with zero-sugar Sparkling offerings and Still brands such as Monster, Powerade, BODYARMOR, and smartwater contributing. Early debt paydown also helps the medium-term balance-sheet repair story.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.6.
What can break
Adjusted gross margin and adjusted operating margin compressed as roughly $35 million of additional aluminum and tariff-related input costs outpaced pricing actions in Q1.
Momentum
66
Value
55
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $181.00 · Bull $195.00 · Bear $158.00Analysis 2026-05-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum66 · Δ7d +4.9
Value55 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment57 · Δ7d +8.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adjusted gross margin and adjusted operating margin compressed as roughly $35 million of additional aluminum and tariff-related input costs outpaced pricing actions in Q1.
  • • Calendar distortion complicates extrapolation because Q1 had six extra selling days versus the prior year while Q4 2026 will have six fewer selling days versus Q4 2025.
  • • The post-print bear case is that headline growth overstated underlying earnings power.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-12

May 12 annual meeting is a dated checkpoint for post-print messaging

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
66
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.9
Δ21d
+9.0
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+1.1
Sentiment
57
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.6
Δ21d
+2.3
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 65.7 / Value 55.3 / Sentiment 56.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$195.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$181.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$158.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$12.39B
Beta
0.64
Shares Out
66.56M
P/E (TTM)
23.7
P/S (TTM)
1.40
P/FCF (TTM)
19.46
Rev YoY
+10.6%
EPS YoY
+23.8%
Gross Margin
+37.7%
Op Margin
+13.0%
Net Debt
$2.63B
Current Ratio
1.21
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data