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CNM

Core MainB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q1 delivered adjusted EPS growth, gross-margin expansion, healthy municipal demand, specialty-category growth, new-location expansion, and reaffirmed full-year outlook. Continued execution could support a rerating.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Analyst revision data and social-market confirmation are unavailable.
Momentum
39
Value
66
Sentiment
73
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $46.00 · Bull $52.50 · Bear $35.00Analysis 2026-09-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $56.85
Why
Momentum39 · Δ7d -2.7
Value66 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment73 · Δ7d -9.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bearish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -9.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst revision data and social-market confirmation are unavailable.
  • • Continued volume weakness could offset pricing, acquisitions, and specialty-category growth.
  • • The next print could expose persistent volume weakness, particularly in pipes, valves and fittings and storm drainage.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-09

Fiscal Q2 FY2026 results on September 9

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
39
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.7
Δ21d
+15.8
Value
66
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
73
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.7
Δ21d
-11.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 39.2 / Value 65.9 / Sentiment 73.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$52.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$46.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$8.77B
Beta
0.98
Shares Out
187.19M
P/E (TTM)
24.3
P/S (TTM)
1.39
P/FCF (TTM)
18.83
Rev YoY
-0.1%
EPS YoY
+9.4%
Gross Margin
+24.7%
Op Margin
+9.6%
Net Debt
$2.22B
Current Ratio
2.31
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data