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CNM

Core MainB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Q1 delivered adjusted EPS growth, gross-margin expansion, healthy municipal demand, specialty-category growth, new-location expansion, and reaffirmed full-year outlook. Continued execution could support a rerating.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Pre-earnings setup: 37 / non-qualifying.
What can break
Analyst revision data and social-market confirmation are unavailable.
Momentum
41
Value
66
Sentiment
68
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $46.00 · Bull $52.50 · Bear $35.00Analysis 2026-09-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
37 · Non-qualifying
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Earnings Setup
As of 2026-09-09 • RankAlpha AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $59.38
Why
Momentum41 · Δ7d +6.6
Value66 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment68 · Δ7d -10.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Earnings surprise screen
37Non-qualifying2026-09-09 bmo
View setup

Core & Main had a recent positive one-week return and a three-quarter beat streak, while data-center construction was cited as a demand focus; however, the checked sources showed no upward estimate revision and no upcoming revenue consensus, and longer-term relative strength remained weak.

Screen as of 2026-09-09. Window 2026-09-09 to 2026-09-15.

Confirming evidence

  • • Pre-earnings setup: 37 / non-qualifying.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -10.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst revision data and social-market confirmation are unavailable.
  • • Continued volume weakness could offset pricing, acquisitions, and specialty-category growth.
  • • The next print could expose persistent volume weakness, particularly in pipes, valves and fittings and storm drainage.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-09

Fiscal Q2 FY2026 results on September 9

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
41
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+6.6
Δ21d
+24.6
Value
66
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
68
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.3
Δ21d
-12.6
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 40.8 / Value 65.9 / Sentiment 68.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$52.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$46.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$8.77B
Beta
0.98
Shares Out
187.19M
P/E (TTM)
24.3
P/S (TTM)
1.39
P/FCF (TTM)
18.83
Rev YoY
-0.1%
EPS YoY
+9.4%
Gross Margin
+24.7%
Op Margin
+9.6%
Net Debt
$2.22B
Current Ratio
2.31
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data