RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

CNI

Canadian National RailwayB
NYSE / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Sustained freight demand, above-plan pricing, and successful capacity/productivity execution drive earnings and multiple expansion toward higher analyst targets.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.4.
What can break
Execution delays on capital projects reducing expected synergies
Momentum
68
Value
50
Sentiment
75
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $136.68 · Bull $170.00 · Bear $90.00Analysis 2026-02-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $142.69
Why
Momentum68 · Δ7d +25.5
Value50 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment75 · Δ7d +2.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Execution delays on capital projects reducing expected synergies
  • • Prolonged demand weakness in industrial and intermodal freight
  • • Prolonged volume weakness, higher operating costs, or major operational/regulatory disruption compresses margins and re-rates the stock toward the low analyst range.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-30

Q1 2026 earnings (assumed window end)

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
68
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+25.5
Δ21d
-0.3
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
75
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.4
Δ21d
+4.9
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 67.9 / Value 50.0 / Sentiment 75.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-06. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$170.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$136.68
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$90.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$76.56B
Beta
0.88
Shares Out
605.15M
P/E (TTM)
18.6
P/S (TTM)
4.90
P/FCF (TTM)
67.45
Rev YoY
+11.3%
EPS YoY
+10.2%
Gross Margin
+44.4%
Op Margin
+37.5%
Net Debt
$15.51B
Current Ratio
0.87
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data