CNCK
Coincheck GroupDNasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-20
Current thesis
The bull case is that CNCK now has two clearer strategic levers than before: KDDI adds capital plus a mainstream Japanese distribution partner, and 3iQ adds institutional capability and AUM. If those channels begin to offset marketplace-volume cyclicality, the stock could rerate from a depressed base, especially with shares still below KDDI's $2.28 investment price and below the sparse median target around $3.74.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Momentum
What changed
Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Core results remain highly exposed to crypto trading activity; official Q4 marketplace trading volume fell 29% year over year [#PR-2026-05-12].
Momentum
80
Value
40
Sentiment
32
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $1.90 · Bull $2.70 · Bear $1.10
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-12 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-20
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-20
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $3.33
Why
Momentum80 · Δ7d -
Value40 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment32 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals
Momentum
80
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
40
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
32
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 80.5 / Value 39.7 / Sentiment 31.7
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-20
Market Cap
$392.83M
Beta
0.09
Shares Out
135.93M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-32.2
P/S (TTM)
0.12
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-16.29
Rev YoY
+15.3%
EPS YoY
-100.0%
Gross Margin
+3.3%
Op Margin
-3.5%
Net Debt
-$366.32M
Current Ratio
1.08
As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology