B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$76.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CNC
CenteneBNYSE / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Raised full-year EPS guidance and improving Commercial, Medicare, and Medicaid health-benefits ratios support a continued profitability-recovery thesis. The supplied median analyst target of $71.67 implies approximately 12% upside from the $64.20 anchor, although the target count is unavailable.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
What can break
A director sold 80,000 shares in an open-market transaction on 2026-06-10; this is a secondary, non-operating signal and not evidence of deteriorating fundamentals [#SEC-FORM4-2026-06-11].
Momentum
61
Value
67
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $70.00 · Bull $76.00 · Bear $56.00Analysis 2026-08-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $71.67
Why
Momentum61 · Δ7d -14.4
Value67 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment67 · Δ7d +9.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • A director sold 80,000 shares in an open-market transaction on 2026-06-10; this is a secondary, non-operating signal and not evidence of deteriorating fundamentals [#SEC-FORM4-2026-06-11].
- • Analyst estimate revisions, rating changes, and target changes are unavailable in the packet.
- • Enrollment losses, especially in Marketplace, create revenue and mix pressure.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-28
Q2 results and higher 2026 EPS outlook
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
61
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-14.4
Δ21d
-19.0
Value
67
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+1.2
Sentiment
67
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.1
Δ21d
+0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 61.2 / Value 66.7 / Sentiment 67.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-07. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$70.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$56.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$31.82B
Beta
0.48
Shares Out
494M
P/E (TTM)
8.2
P/S (TTM)
0.12
P/FCF (TTM)
6.54
Rev YoY
+9.9%
EPS YoY
-527.7%
Gross Margin
+8.1%
Op Margin
+0.8%
Net Debt
$274M
Current Ratio
1.15
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data