B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$18.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
CMRE
CostamareDNYSE / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull case: a sustained recovery in short-term charter rates combined with successful contract renewals and steady distributions drives higher cash generation and a modest re-rating above the current broker-last price.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.
What can break
Dividend reduction or suspension
Momentum
59
Value
70
Sentiment
44
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $12.75 · Bull $18.00 · Bear $8.00Analysis 2026-02-19; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-19 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $20.00
Why
Momentum59 · Δ7d +2.0
Value70 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment44 · Δ7d +0.5
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Dividend reduction or suspension
- • Newbuilding delivery wave
- • Bear case: an oversupplied market or sustained rate weakness compresses earnings and distributable cash; higher financing costs or refinancing stress would deepen downside toward the bear target.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-20
Q1 2026 / quarterly results
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
59
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+2.0
Δ21d
+38.9
Value
70
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-1.3
Sentiment
44
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
+1.1
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 58.6 / Value 70.2 / Sentiment 44.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-19. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$12.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$8.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.81B
Beta
1.26
Shares Out
120.59M
P/E (TTM)
5.8
P/S (TTM)
1.29
P/FCF (TTM)
7.37
Rev YoY
-4.8%
EPS YoY
-7.7%
Gross Margin
+52.5%
Op Margin
+46.1%
Net Debt
$967.59M
Current Ratio
1.61
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data