B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$98.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CMPR
CimpressBNasdaq / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
FY2026 revenue grew 10% and adjusted EBITDA reached $458.5 million. Management's FY2027 outlook calls for at least $520 million of adjusted EBITDA and approximately $200 million of adjusted free cash flow; production savings and higher-value products could support that path.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · AMC.
What can break
Canva partnership economics and financial results are undisclosed; a launched product range does not establish material earnings contribution. [#IR-2026-09-30] Company-hosted Investor Day transcript.
Momentum
23
Value
65
Sentiment
52
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $82.00 · Bull $98.00 · Bear $56.00Analysis 2026-10-10; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-10 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $114.50
Why
Momentum23 · Δ7d +1.0
Value65 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment52 · Δ7d -7.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · AMC.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Canva partnership economics and financial results are undisclosed; a launched product range does not establish material earnings contribution. [#IR-2026-09-30] Company-hosted Investor Day transcript.
- • Cimpress recognized $6.9 million in tariff refunds in FY2026 and filed approximately $10 million of additional claims, but included no benefit from those claims in FY2027 guidance. Recovery and future trade costs remain uncertain. [#10-K-2026-08-07] SEC filing.
- • FY2026 adjusted free cash flow fell to $122.4 million despite EBITDA growth.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-28 · AMC
October 28 results test cash conversion
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
23
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.0
Δ21d
+0.8
Value
65
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
52
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.8
Δ21d
-11.8
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 23.0 / Value 65.0 / Sentiment 51.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-10. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$56.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.96B
Beta
1.75
Shares Out
24.35M
P/E (TTM)
51.0
P/S (TTM)
0.47
P/FCF (TTM)
10.70
Rev YoY
+8.7%
EPS YoY
-200.7%
Gross Margin
+45.9%
Op Margin
+6.9%
Net Debt
$1.54B
Current Ratio
0.73
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data