B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$108.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CMPR
CimpressBNasdaq / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
FY2026 showed broad revenue growth, improving adjusted EBITDA, and strong VistaPrint contribution. The FY2027 outlook points to further EBITDA and free-cash-flow growth if acquisition contributions, manufacturing efficiencies, and cost actions are delivered [#10-K-2026-08-07][#SEC-8K-2026-07-29].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.8.
What can break
FY2026 adjusted free cash flow declined to $122.4 million despite revenue and EBITDA growth, making the FY2027 cash-flow recovery a key execution test [#10-K-2026-08-07].
Momentum
15
Value
64
Sentiment
74
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $94.00 · Bull $108.00 · Bear $74.00Analysis 2026-08-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $114.50
Why
Momentum15 · Δ7d -6.5
Value64 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment74 · Δ7d +10.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • FY2026 adjusted free cash flow declined to $122.4 million despite revenue and EBITDA growth, making the FY2027 cash-flow recovery a key execution test [#10-K-2026-08-07].
- • North American production expansion added startup and other costs, while FY2026 capital expenditures and capitalized software investment remained substantial [#10-K-2026-08-07].
- • FY2026 adjusted free cash flow fell to $122.4 million and operating cash flow declined to $283.7 million, while network expansion, software investment, tariffs, working capital, and leverage remain execution constraints.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-28
FY2027 guidance validation
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
15
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.5
Δ21d
-18.8
Value
64
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+0.3
Sentiment
74
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.8
Δ21d
-6.2
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 14.7 / Value 64.0 / Sentiment 74.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-27. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$94.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$74.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.23B
Beta
1.75
Shares Out
24.35M
P/E (TTM)
51.0
P/S (TTM)
0.47
P/FCF (TTM)
10.70
Rev YoY
+8.7%
EPS YoY
-200.7%
Gross Margin
+45.9%
Op Margin
+6.9%
Net Debt
$1.54B
Current Ratio
0.73
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data