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CMP

Compass Minerals InternationalB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Plant Nutrition pricing and lower per-unit costs support raised guidance, while stronger highway deicing bids could lift future Salt earnings if production costs normalize. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.
What can break
A director resigned in October and the board reduced its size to eight; the filing provides no basis to infer an operating effect. [#8-K-2026-10-15]
Momentum
23
Value
63
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $23.00 · Bull $30.00 · Bear $15.00Analysis 2026-10-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $29.50
Why
Momentum23 · Δ7d -3.3
Value63 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment62 · Δ7d -9.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A director resigned in October and the board reduced its size to eight; the filing provides no basis to infer an operating effect. [#8-K-2026-10-15]
  • • Net debt of $660.3 million at June 30, 2026 leaves execution and cash-flow sensitivity, notwithstanding lower net leverage. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
  • • Salt margins deteriorated year over year despite higher production tons; maintenance, labor, distribution costs and mix may absorb pricing gains.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Fiscal 2026 results test revised guidance

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
23
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-3.3
Δ21d
+4.1
Value
63
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
62
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.6
Δ21d
-22.7
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 23.0 / Value 63.2 / Sentiment 61.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-23. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$23.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$15.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$892.93M
Beta
1.17
Shares Out
41.98M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-11.1
P/S (TTM)
0.70
P/FCF (TTM)
6.81
Rev YoY
+0.3%
EPS YoY
-66.8%
Gross Margin
+16.8%
Op Margin
+8.5%
Net Debt
$841.9M
Current Ratio
2.01
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data