B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$740.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CMI
CumminsANYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Post-earnings read-through improved because the company raised full-year revenue and EBITDA guidance, highlighted record Power Systems performance, and described data-center backup power demand as stronger than expected. Public post-print coverage indicates a positive revision tone, but the available packet does not provide a complete analyst estimate or target-change set.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.7.
What can break
Cummins said tariff impacts were immaterial in Q1 after mitigation, but warned continued or increased tariff costs and market volatility could materially hurt future results and cash flow [#10-Q-2026-05-05].
Momentum
22
Value
55
Sentiment
85
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $650.00 · Bull $740.00 · Bear $560.00Analysis 2026-05-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $781.63
Why
Momentum22 · Δ7d -3.0
Value55 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment85 · Δ7d +4.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.7.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Cummins said tariff impacts were immaterial in Q1 after mitigation, but warned continued or increased tariff costs and market volatility could materially hurt future results and cash flow [#10-Q-2026-05-05].
- • North America medium-duty and heavy-duty truck demand remained weak in Q1, pressuring Engine and Components results even as power generation improved.
- • The quarter was not clean: diluted EPS fell year over year and included a large fuel-cell-related charge, while Engine and Components still showed weak North American truck demand.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-21
Q1 guide-up reset with Analyst Day follow-through window
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
22
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.0
Δ21d
-2.1
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+1.6
Sentiment
85
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.7
Δ21d
+16.1
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 22.4 / Value 55.3 / Sentiment 84.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$650.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$560.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$88.26B
Beta
1.12
Shares Out
137.66M
P/E (TTM)
27.6
P/S (TTM)
2.19
P/FCF (TTM)
58.72
Rev YoY
+9.4%
EPS YoY
+4.7%
Gross Margin
+25.1%
Op Margin
+11.4%
Net Debt
$4.51B
Current Ratio
1.73
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data