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CMI

CumminsB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Cummins delivered record second-quarter revenue, raised full-year revenue guidance, lifted the bottom of its EBITDA-margin range and generated record second-quarter operating cash flow. Robust data-center power demand, improving North American truck markets and China construction growth provide multiple operating drivers.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.1.
What can break
An officer sold 698 shares for approximately $399,410 on August 24; one transaction is not a thesis signal but warrants contextual monitoring. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-25]
Momentum
26
Value
56
Sentiment
66
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $575.00 · Bull $650.00 · Bear $430.00Analysis 2026-09-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $727.04
Why
Momentum26 · Δ7d +1.4
Value56 · Δ7d +0.4
Sentiment66 · Δ7d +4.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • An officer sold 698 shares for approximately $399,410 on August 24; one transaction is not a thesis signal but warrants contextual monitoring. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-25]
  • • Data-center power generation may already carry substantial expectations, creating downside if orders, conversion or margins normalize.
  • • Adjusted EPS reportedly missed consensus despite revenue exceeding consensus, while Engine, Components and Distribution margins contracted because of compensation, R&D, freight and product-coverage costs.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Raised 2026 outlook and stronger second-half expectations

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
26
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.4
Δ21d
+0.4
Value
56
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.4
Δ21d
-0.6
Sentiment
66
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+4.1
Δ21d
-7.9
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 26.1 / Value 56.4 / Sentiment 65.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-17. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$650.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$575.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$430.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$71.23B
Beta
1.12
Shares Out
137.66M
P/E (TTM)
27.6
P/S (TTM)
2.19
P/FCF (TTM)
58.72
Rev YoY
+9.4%
EPS YoY
+4.7%
Gross Margin
+25.1%
Op Margin
+11.4%
Net Debt
$4.51B
Current Ratio
1.73
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data